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Red199
1983143.1
5803171.5
2907107.0
Blue434
2557152.0
2046211.5
304978.3
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions280328100200400500600199434

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
171.50.6
170.3170.9
Auto25.3
Teleop127.9
End21.0
blue by 40.0
211.50.0
211.3211.3
Auto26.0
Teleop159.5
End26.8
Second
143.10.3
142.5142.8
Auto15.4
Teleop112.4
End17.8
blue by 8.9
152.00.6
150.6151.3
Auto21.7
Teleop120.1
End10.5
Third
2907
#20
107.00.3
106.4106.8
Auto15.2
Teleop82.9
End11.7
red by 28.7
3049
#35
78.30.3
77.778.0
Auto13.2
Teleop61.3
End5.1