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Red291
1983143.1
5803171.5
2907107.0
Blue213
2557152.0
2046211.5
304978.3
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions274338100200400500600291213

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
171.50.6
170.9171.5
Auto25.3
Teleop127.9
End21.0
blue by 40.0
211.50.1
211.3211.5
Auto26.0
Teleop159.5
End26.8
Second
143.10.2
142.8143.1
Auto15.4
Teleop112.4
End17.8
blue by 8.9
152.00.7
151.3152.0
Auto21.7
Teleop120.1
End10.5
Third
2907
#20
107.00.3
106.8107.0
Auto15.2
Teleop82.9
End11.7
red by 28.7
3049
#35
78.30.4
78.078.3
Auto13.2
Teleop61.3
End5.1