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Red384
1983143.1
5803171.5
2907107.0
Blue217
5588138.0
3219149.8
5937117.5
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions338270100200300400500384217

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
171.50.5
168.0168.5
Auto25.3
Teleop127.9
End21.0
red by 21.7
3219
#13
149.80.3
149.5149.8
Auto19.0
Teleop111.5
End21.8
Second
143.10.1
141.9142.0
Auto15.4
Teleop112.4
End17.8
red by 5.1
5588
#17
138.00.3
138.3138.0
Auto16.8
Teleop107.4
End14.4
Third
2907
#20
107.00.2
105.5105.7
Auto15.2
Teleop82.9
End11.7
blue by 10.5
5937
#30
117.50.1
117.6117.5
Auto17.3
Teleop86.8
End14.4