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Red402
1983143.1
5803171.5
2907107.0
Blue218
948145.6
2605150.1
4131138.5
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions317311250300350400402218

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
171.50.6
169.1169.7
Auto25.3
Teleop127.9
End21.0
red by 21.4
150.10.1
150.1150.1
Auto21.6
Teleop102.9
End26.1
Second
143.10.2
142.1142.3
Auto15.4
Teleop112.4
End17.8
blue by 2.6
948
#16
145.60.1
145.7145.6
Auto19.2
Teleop111.7
End10.6
Third
2907
#20
107.00.2
105.9106.1
Auto15.2
Teleop82.9
End11.7
blue by 31.4
4131
#14
138.50.2
138.3138.5
Auto16.7
Teleop100.4
End21.7