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Red245
568127.4
2906126.9
3684119.0
Blue274
948145.6
2605150.1
4131138.5
12%Model gave it88%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2393800100200300500600245274

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
568
#11
127.40.3
126.9127.2
Auto17.6
Teleop91.9
End22.4
blue by 22.6
150.10.0
150.2150.2
Auto21.6
Teleop102.9
End26.1
Second
126.90.0
127.0127.0
Auto14.2
Teleop98.1
End13.0
blue by 18.7
948
#16
145.60.0
146.0145.9
Auto19.2
Teleop111.7
End10.6
Third
3684
#26
119.00.0
119.1119.0
Auto15.9
Teleop92.0
End12.3
blue by 19.4
4131
#14
138.50.4
137.4137.8
Auto16.7
Teleop100.4
End21.7