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Red412
2046211.5
2412140.8
3684119.0
Blue63
2928110.2
5937117.5
5941116.3
83%Model gave it17%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions367224010030040050060070041263

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
211.51.3
206.1207.4
Auto26.0
Teleop159.5
End26.8
red by 94.0
5937
#30
117.57.8
109.5117.3
Auto17.3
Teleop86.8
End14.4
Second
2412
#15
140.83.5
111.6115.0
Auto16.9
Teleop105.6
End22.1
red by 24.5
5941
#27
116.36.4
107.0113.4
Auto11.4
Teleop93.2
End8.3
Third
3684
#26
119.05.3
97.8103.1
Auto15.9
Teleop92.0
End12.3
red by 8.8
2928
#32
110.21.7
112.9114.5
Auto13.5
Teleop89.1
End10.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
36%Auto Quest oddsMissed12%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed