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Red183
948145.6
323787.9
2907107.0
Blue341
488170.4
6503109.1
2927116.4
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2372930100200400500600183341

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
948
#16
145.65.7
126.7132.4
Auto19.2
Teleop111.7
End10.6
blue by 24.7
488
#3
170.41.6
160.0161.6
Auto22.9
Teleop129.6
End16.6
Second
2907
#20
107.01.3
106.6105.3
Auto15.2
Teleop82.9
End11.7
blue by 9.4
2927
#25
116.45.5
86.892.3
Auto14.6
Teleop86.4
End17.5
Third
3237
#18
87.96.8
84.591.3
Auto13.1
Teleop67.6
End8.4
blue by 21.2
6503
#31
109.16.5
88.895.3
Auto13.8
Teleop84.6
End10.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
14%Auto Quest oddsMissed43%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed