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Red308
5683115.7
4131138.5
4060109.8
Blue225
3876106.2
1778146.4
3574135.7
18%Model gave it82%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2083280100400500600308225

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4131
#14
138.51.9
110.1112.0
Auto16.7
Teleop100.4
End21.7
blue by 7.9
146.46.8
125.3132.1
Auto19.7
Teleop110.0
End15.0
Second
5683
#21
115.73.5
93.797.2
Auto14.6
Teleop90.9
End8.4
blue by 20.1
3574
#19
135.76.9
109.8116.7
Auto18.0
Teleop99.6
End17.7
Third
4060
#12
109.80.2
102.1101.9
Auto17.3
Teleop85.6
End8.6
red by 3.6
3876
#29
106.27.8
93.5101.3
Auto15.5
Teleop80.4
End13.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
22%Auto Quest oddsMissed28%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed