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Red232
3238153.0
5941116.3
457998.8
Blue225
5937117.5
4469150.9
6503109.1
34%Model gave it66%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions273307100150200250350400450500232225

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3238
#10
153.01.1
153.7152.7
Auto24.6
Teleop109.5
End19.6
red by 2.0
150.90.6
146.3146.9
Auto15.8
Teleop112.2
End22.9
Second
5941
#27
116.32.8
115.9118.7
Auto11.4
Teleop93.2
End8.3
blue by 1.2
5937
#30
117.50.0
120.2120.2
Auto17.3
Teleop86.8
End14.4
Third
4579
#28
98.83.2
112.8109.5
Auto13.5
Teleop79.0
End6.7
blue by 10.3
6503
#31
109.12.1
108.5110.6
Auto13.8
Teleop84.6
End10.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
22%Auto Quest oddsMissed19%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed