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Red214
3876106.2
695993.8
5803171.5
Blue361
2557152.0
2906126.9
2929112.6
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions281276150200250300350400214361

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
171.50.9
160.8161.7
Auto25.3
Teleop127.9
End21.0
red by 19.5
152.02.4
134.9137.3
Auto21.7
Teleop120.1
End10.5
Second
3876
#29
106.20.2
110.3110.5
Auto15.5
Teleop80.4
End13.0
blue by 20.8
126.91.9
113.6115.6
Auto14.2
Teleop98.1
End13.0
Third
6959
#33
93.80.9
93.794.5
Auto13.4
Teleop77.7
End3.6
blue by 18.8
2929
#23
112.61.1
113.8112.7
Auto16.1
Teleop88.9
End6.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
11%Auto Quest oddsEarned27%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed