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Red41
323787.9
3393116.8
2046211.5
Blue405
3574135.7
2605150.1
4131138.5
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions37224610020030040050060041405

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
211.51.1
212.5213.6
Auto26.0
Teleop159.5
End26.8
red by 61.4
150.10.3
142.7142.4
Auto21.6
Teleop102.9
End26.1
Second
3393
#22
116.81.9
129.5131.4
Auto13.9
Teleop91.5
End6.0
blue by 21.7
4131
#14
138.53.8
123.0126.8
Auto16.7
Teleop100.4
End21.7
Third
3237
#18
87.90.2
98.898.6
Auto13.1
Teleop67.6
End8.4
blue by 47.8
3574
#19
135.71.7
125.3127.0
Auto18.0
Teleop99.6
End17.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
40%Auto Quest oddsMissed61%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed7%Face the Boss oddsEarned