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Red232
2927116.4
4469150.9
323787.9
Blue347
5803171.5
304978.3
568127.4
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions28627802004006008001,0001,200232347

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
150.90.8
147.8148.6
Auto15.8
Teleop112.2
End22.9
blue by 20.5
171.51.4
162.9164.4
Auto25.3
Teleop127.9
End21.0
Second
2927
#25
116.43.2
109.8112.9
Auto14.6
Teleop86.4
End17.5
blue by 11.0
568
#11
127.41.0
122.2123.2
Auto17.6
Teleop91.9
End22.4
Third
3237
#18
87.90.5
90.289.7
Auto13.1
Teleop67.6
End8.4
red by 9.6
3049
#35
78.30.5
76.075.6
Auto13.2
Teleop61.3
End5.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
19%Auto Quest oddsMissed47%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed2%Face the Boss oddsMissed