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Red216
6350103.2
3393116.8
2928110.2
Blue261
2907107.0
2929112.6
1778146.4
24%Model gave it76%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2253070100200400500216261

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3393
#22
116.81.3
122.3121.0
Auto13.9
Teleop91.5
End6.0
blue by 29.6
146.40.2
147.0146.8
Auto19.7
Teleop110.0
End15.0
Second
2928
#32
110.20.5
109.1109.6
Auto13.5
Teleop89.1
End10.9
blue by 2.4
2929
#23
112.60.4
115.4115.0
Auto16.1
Teleop88.9
End6.3
Third
6350
#34
103.23.0
109.0106.0
Auto15.2
Teleop80.9
End5.8
blue by 3.8
2907
#20
107.00.7
103.1103.7
Auto15.2
Teleop82.9
End11.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
11%Auto Quest oddsMissed35%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed2%Face the Boss oddsMissed