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Red261
2927113.3
3223127.9
1318201.7
Blue391
492156.6
360172.1
6350104.8
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3372900100200400500600261391

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
201.70.6
190.8191.4
Auto22.6
Teleop148.4
End30.7
red by 29.6
360
#6
172.10.9
164.8163.8
Auto25.5
Teleop127.3
End18.0
Second
3223
#13
127.91.1
129.9128.8
Auto19.0
Teleop97.2
End10.9
blue by 28.7
492
#9
156.60.4
140.1140.5
Auto20.5
Teleop116.3
End19.8
Third
2927
#25
113.31.2
116.1114.9
Auto15.4
Teleop83.2
End13.7
red by 8.5
6350
#18
104.80.9
102.3101.5
Auto15.9
Teleop80.6
End11.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
59%Auto Quest oddsEarned47%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed5%Face the Boss oddsMissed