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Red339
1258128.0
2907130.7
1425196.3
Blue265
2557173.1
4579105.2
2942113.3
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3382280100200300400500339265

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
196.30.2
185.7185.9
Auto21.6
Teleop136.5
End41.3
red by 23.2
173.12.1
153.7155.8
Auto21.7
Teleop137.6
End14.1
Second
130.71.5
107.8109.2
Auto17.3
Teleop99.2
End16.9
red by 17.3
2942
#34
113.36.6
83.289.7
Auto15.5
Teleop86.0
End9.8
Third
1258
#14
128.01.5
113.7115.1
Auto18.3
Teleop96.3
End12.9
red by 22.7
4579
#22
105.20.7
98.197.4
Auto15.2
Teleop79.6
End15.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
48%Auto Quest oddsEarned26%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
16%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed