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Red241
4461103.4
6350104.8
2046207.4
Blue318
492156.6
292693.8
1778155.3
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3142620100200400500600241318

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
207.40.0
211.3211.3
Auto26.4
Teleop155.5
End26.9
red by 50.8
492
#9
156.61.1
140.5141.5
Auto20.5
Teleop116.3
End19.8
Second
6350
#18
104.80.0
101.5101.5
Auto15.9
Teleop80.6
End11.0
blue by 50.5
155.30.6
147.5148.1
Auto19.2
Teleop120.5
End15.0
Third
4461
#20
103.40.6
102.1101.5
Auto14.2
Teleop85.5
End5.2
red by 9.6
2926
#28
93.80.1
102.4102.3
Auto13.7
Teleop74.8
End4.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
50%Auto Quest oddsEarned28%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed