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Red366
2557173.1
360172.1
1899114.2
Blue282
3219148.5
949126.8
2907130.7
85%Model gave it15%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions363241100200300400500600366282

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
173.12.5
155.8158.3
Auto21.7
Teleop137.6
End14.1
red by 24.6
3219
#17
148.50.3
151.0151.3
Auto23.1
Teleop105.5
End21.5
Second
360
#6
172.10.0
163.8163.9
Auto25.5
Teleop127.3
End18.0
red by 41.4
130.71.4
109.2110.6
Auto17.3
Teleop99.2
End16.9
Third
1899
#30
114.20.4
115.6116.0
Auto15.6
Teleop87.6
End11.0
blue by 12.6
949
#12
126.80.6
110.6111.2
Auto17.7
Teleop95.2
End12.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
86%Auto Quest oddsEarned35%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed