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Red167
5468139.7
3393102.1
4131132.2
Blue388
1258128.0
1318201.7
323786.3
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2982850100200400500600700167388

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5468
#26
139.70.6
146.6146.0
Auto16.2
Teleop110.0
End15.1
blue by 62.0
201.70.2
191.4191.6
Auto22.6
Teleop148.4
End30.7
Second
4131
#29
132.20.6
139.3139.9
Auto17.9
Teleop96.2
End20.3
red by 4.2
1258
#14
128.01.4
115.1116.5
Auto18.3
Teleop96.3
End12.9
Third
3393
#27
102.11.4
112.6111.2
Auto14.7
Teleop82.7
End4.7
red by 15.8
3237
#32
86.30.6
86.786.1
Auto14.1
Teleop63.1
End5.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
29%Auto Quest oddsMissed67%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed