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Red348
2906139.3
4918123.6
3786115.4
Blue205
5937112.9
2942113.3
5468139.7
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions281277150200250300350400348205

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
139.30.1
127.4127.5
Auto18.8
Teleop103.9
End18.1
blue by 0.4
5468
#26
139.71.4
146.0144.7
Auto16.2
Teleop110.0
End15.1
Second
4918
#19
123.60.3
113.9114.1
Auto16.9
Teleop93.6
End13.8
red by 10.3
2942
#34
113.35.2
96.5101.7
Auto15.5
Teleop86.0
End9.8
Third
3786
#23
115.40.6
109.5109.0
Auto15.4
Teleop93.2
End9.4
red by 2.5
5937
#35
112.91.2
115.7114.5
Auto17.7
Teleop84.7
End11.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
51%Auto Quest oddsMissed24%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed