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Red323
949126.8
2557173.1
1778155.3
Blue283
2927113.3
2046207.4
1425196.3
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2593960100200300500600700323283

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
173.12.2
158.3160.5
Auto21.7
Teleop137.6
End14.1
blue by 34.3
207.40.9
211.3210.5
Auto26.4
Teleop155.5
End26.9
Second
155.30.7
148.1148.8
Auto19.2
Teleop120.5
End15.0
blue by 41.1
196.31.2
186.4187.5
Auto21.6
Teleop136.5
End41.3
Third
949
#12
126.80.5
111.2111.7
Auto17.7
Teleop95.2
End12.8
red by 13.5
2927
#25
113.30.8
113.7112.9
Auto15.4
Teleop83.2
End13.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
78%Auto Quest oddsMissed76%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
2%Face the Boss oddsMissed27%Face the Boss oddsMissed