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Red422
2046207.4
3574150.0
4579105.2
Blue302
4918123.6
4131132.2
1425196.3
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3403060100200400500600700422302

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
207.41.5
209.2207.7
Auto26.4
Teleop155.5
End26.9
red by 11.1
196.30.8
187.9188.6
Auto21.6
Teleop136.5
End41.3
Second
3574
#10
150.01.6
138.8140.4
Auto22.3
Teleop111.0
End14.2
red by 17.8
4131
#29
132.20.8
139.0138.2
Auto17.9
Teleop96.2
End20.3
Third
4579
#22
105.20.8
98.299.0
Auto15.2
Teleop79.6
End15.4
blue by 18.4
4918
#19
123.60.7
114.9115.6
Auto16.9
Teleop93.6
End13.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
54%Auto Quest oddsEarned53%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
6%Face the Boss oddsMissed23%Face the Boss oddsMissed