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Red321
1318201.7
2906139.3
2942113.3
Blue374
3223127.9
2557173.1
492156.6
30%Model gave it70%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions299352100200400500321374

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
201.71.1
194.4195.5
Auto22.6
Teleop148.4
End30.7
red by 28.6
173.12.2
162.7164.9
Auto21.7
Teleop137.6
End14.1
Second
139.30.7
128.0128.7
Auto18.8
Teleop103.9
End18.1
blue by 17.3
492
#9
156.62.7
145.2147.9
Auto20.5
Teleop116.3
End19.8
Third
2942
#34
113.32.1
104.7106.8
Auto15.5
Teleop86.0
End9.8
blue by 14.5
3223
#13
127.90.4
125.5125.1
Auto19.0
Teleop97.2
End10.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
84%Auto Quest oddsEarned77%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed