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Red397
3393102.1
360172.1
949126.8
Blue238
5468139.7
1258128.0
6350104.8
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3162550100200400500600397238

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
360
#6
172.11.3
164.4165.6
Auto25.5
Teleop127.3
End18.0
red by 32.4
5468
#26
139.71.1
143.4142.3
Auto16.2
Teleop110.0
End15.1
Second
949
#12
126.80.1
112.4112.5
Auto17.7
Teleop95.2
End12.8
blue by 1.2
1258
#14
128.01.4
120.5121.9
Auto18.3
Teleop96.3
End12.9
Third
3393
#27
102.11.7
107.0105.3
Auto14.7
Teleop82.7
End4.7
blue by 2.6
6350
#18
104.81.1
99.098.0
Auto15.9
Teleop80.6
End11.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
45%Auto Quest oddsEarned44%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed