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Red105
292693.8
2929103.0
948145.5
Blue306
3219148.5
2927113.3
6503118.3
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2613020100200400500600700105306

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
948
#16
145.50.0
145.9145.8
Auto19.6
Teleop111.3
End17.3
blue by 3.0
3219
#17
148.50.1
151.8151.6
Auto23.1
Teleop105.5
End21.5
Second
2929
#33
103.00.1
108.9108.8
Auto14.6
Teleop83.6
End5.6
blue by 15.3
6503
#15
118.31.2
112.2113.3
Auto13.4
Teleop88.2
End14.9
Third
2926
#28
93.80.8
102.2101.4
Auto13.7
Teleop74.8
End4.4
blue by 19.5
2927
#25
113.30.8
111.8111.0
Auto15.4
Teleop83.2
End13.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
22%Auto Quest oddsMissed17%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed