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Red148
323786.3
3219148.5
5468139.7
Blue444
2976150.6
3223127.9
2942113.3
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2813070100200400500600148444

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3219
#17
148.50.5
151.2150.7
Auto23.1
Teleop105.5
End21.5
blue by 2.0
2976
#21
150.60.7
147.9148.6
Auto19.1
Teleop115.4
End16.1
Second
5468
#26
139.70.9
140.4139.4
Auto16.2
Teleop110.0
End15.1
red by 11.9
3223
#13
127.90.3
124.3124.0
Auto19.0
Teleop97.2
End10.9
Third
3237
#32
86.30.6
90.089.4
Auto14.1
Teleop63.1
End5.2
blue by 27.0
2942
#34
113.31.0
112.6111.6
Auto15.5
Teleop86.0
End9.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
54%Auto Quest oddsMissed38%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed5%Face the Boss oddsMissed