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Red398
1425196.3
5937112.9
1778155.3
Blue223
6350104.8
4131132.2
6503118.3
95%Model gave it5%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4021920100300500600398223

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
196.30.2
188.8189.0
Auto21.6
Teleop136.5
End41.3
red by 64.1
4131
#29
132.21.0
133.9132.9
Auto17.9
Teleop96.2
End20.3
Second
155.30.7
151.5152.2
Auto19.2
Teleop120.5
End15.0
red by 37.0
6503
#15
118.30.3
116.9117.2
Auto13.4
Teleop88.2
End14.9
Third
5937
#35
112.90.1
112.2112.1
Auto17.7
Teleop84.7
End11.4
red by 8.1
6350
#18
104.80.7
97.698.3
Auto15.9
Teleop80.6
End11.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
65%Auto Quest oddsEarned41%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
17%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed