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Red208
1899114.2
4579105.2
3223127.9
Blue255
2927113.3
3393102.1
4461103.4
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2752480100200300400208255

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3223
#13
127.90.6
124.0124.6
Auto19.0
Teleop97.2
End10.9
red by 14.6
2927
#25
113.30.8
111.0111.8
Auto15.4
Teleop83.2
End13.7
Second
1899
#30
114.21.0
115.4114.4
Auto15.6
Teleop87.6
End11.0
red by 10.8
4461
#20
103.40.7
97.898.5
Auto14.2
Teleop85.5
End5.2
Third
4579
#22
105.21.4
101.3102.7
Auto15.2
Teleop79.6
End15.4
red by 3.1
3393
#27
102.11.4
104.1102.6
Auto14.7
Teleop82.7
End4.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
41%Auto Quest oddsMissed15%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
2%Face the Boss oddsMissed2%Face the Boss oddsMissed