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Red270
3223127.9
4918123.6
1258128.0
Blue342
1318201.7
6503118.3
949126.8
9%Model gave it91%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions243403100200300500600700270342

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1258
#14
128.00.1
127.7127.8
Auto18.3
Teleop96.3
End12.9
blue by 73.7
201.71.0
198.1199.2
Auto22.6
Teleop148.4
End30.7
Second
3223
#13
127.90.7
124.6125.3
Auto19.0
Teleop97.2
End10.9
red by 1.1
949
#12
126.82.7
119.6122.3
Auto17.7
Teleop95.2
End12.8
Third
4918
#19
123.61.6
119.2120.8
Auto16.9
Teleop93.6
End13.8
red by 5.3
6503
#15
118.30.8
117.2118.0
Auto13.4
Teleop88.2
End14.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
54%Auto Quest oddsEarned70%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
2%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed