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Red261
3684112.5
2929103.0
492156.6
Blue272
1778155.3
4579105.2
4131132.2
27%Model gave it73%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2563290100200300400500261272

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
492
#9
156.61.4
152.8154.2
Auto20.5
Teleop116.3
End19.8
red by 1.3
155.30.8
152.2153.0
Auto19.2
Teleop120.5
End15.0
Second
3684
#31
112.50.8
113.3112.5
Auto14.0
Teleop85.6
End13.5
blue by 19.7
4131
#29
132.20.3
132.9132.6
Auto17.9
Teleop96.2
End20.3
Third
2929
#33
103.01.3
104.8103.5
Auto14.6
Teleop83.6
End5.6
blue by 2.3
4579
#22
105.21.4
102.7104.1
Auto15.2
Teleop79.6
End15.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
19%Auto Quest oddsEarned56%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed