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Red464
2046207.4
1425196.3
5468139.7
Blue99
492156.6
2557173.1
4461103.4
92%Model gave it8%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions426249010020030050060070046499

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
207.40.2
206.8207.0
Auto26.4
Teleop155.5
End26.9
red by 34.3
173.10.3
172.8173.1
Auto21.7
Teleop137.6
End14.1
Second
196.30.6
194.5195.1
Auto21.6
Teleop136.5
End41.3
red by 39.7
492
#9
156.60.1
156.5156.6
Auto20.5
Teleop116.3
End19.8
Third
5468
#26
139.70.2
139.1139.3
Auto16.2
Teleop110.0
End15.1
red by 36.4
4461
#20
103.40.4
103.0103.4
Auto14.2
Teleop85.5
End5.2