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Red274
492156.6
2557173.1
4461103.4
Blue335
3574150.0
2907130.7
3219148.5
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions341289100200400500600274335

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
173.10.4
171.3171.7
Auto21.7
Teleop137.6
End14.1
red by 23.1
3574
#10
150.00.1
149.7149.8
Auto22.3
Teleop111.0
End14.2
Second
492
#9
156.60.1
156.0156.1
Auto20.5
Teleop116.3
End19.8
red by 8.1
3219
#17
148.50.1
148.4148.5
Auto23.1
Teleop105.5
End21.5
Third
4461
#20
103.40.6
100.9101.5
Auto14.2
Teleop85.5
End5.2
blue by 27.3
130.70.4
129.5129.9
Auto17.3
Teleop99.2
End16.9