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Red283
1318201.7
1778155.3
3588120.8
Blue279
948145.5
6443135.7
2976150.6
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions379294100200500600283279

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
201.70.2
201.0201.2
Auto22.6
Teleop148.4
End30.7
red by 51.2
2976
#21
150.60.1
150.4150.5
Auto19.1
Teleop115.4
End16.1
Second
155.30.2
154.6154.8
Auto19.2
Teleop120.5
End15.0
red by 9.8
948
#16
145.50.5
144.5145.0
Auto19.6
Teleop111.3
End17.3
Third
3588
#24
120.80.1
120.6120.7
Auto13.7
Teleop95.0
End10.4
blue by 15.0
6443
#11
135.70.0
135.7135.7
Auto16.7
Teleop101.7
End18.9