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Red356
2976165.1
2046224.7
2412148.1
Blue240
1983182.1
1318203.8
1778151.8
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions35332005001,0001,500356240

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
224.70.2
224.3224.5
Auto21.8
Teleop182.1
End23.1
red by 20.9
203.80.0
203.9203.9
Auto23.7
Teleop148.4
End29.1
Second
2976
#15
165.10.0
165.0165.1
Auto18.7
Teleop136.8
End10.7
blue by 17.0
182.10.4
181.3181.8
Auto22.8
Teleop144.7
End11.6
Third
148.10.1
147.9148.0
Auto16.6
Teleop110.8
End19.4
blue by 3.7
1778
#19
151.80.2
151.5151.7
Auto17.3
Teleop125.1
End9.1