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Red295
5803178.8
3574154.7
949138.0
Blue392
1983182.1
1318203.8
1778151.8
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2544020100200300500600700800295392

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5803
#10
178.80.6
179.4178.8
Auto21.8
Teleop127.1
End26.6
blue by 25.0
203.80.0
204.0203.9
Auto23.7
Teleop148.4
End29.1
Second
154.70.3
155.0154.7
Auto23.6
Teleop116.6
End11.1
blue by 27.4
182.10.5
180.9181.3
Auto22.8
Teleop144.7
End11.6
Third
949
#5
138.00.2
137.8138.0
Auto19.4
Teleop108.9
End7.4
blue by 13.8
1778
#19
151.80.2
151.3151.5
Auto17.3
Teleop125.1
End9.1