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Red323
1318203.8
304982.1
949138.0
Blue226
4461105.5
3223150.9
492132.0
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions32129202004006008001,000323226

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
203.80.5
203.5204.0
Auto23.7
Teleop148.4
End29.1
red by 52.9
3223
#29
150.90.9
155.3156.1
Auto20.1
Teleop117.7
End11.6
Second
949
#5
138.02.2
126.8129.0
Auto19.4
Teleop108.9
End7.4
red by 6.0
492
#20
132.01.0
143.3142.3
Auto20.3
Teleop99.7
End10.1
Third
82.10.8
78.379.1
Auto13.9
Teleop63.4
End8.3
blue by 23.4
4461
#13
105.50.7
103.4104.0
Auto15.1
Teleop86.7
End4.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
73%Auto Quest oddsMissed75%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
8%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed