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Red237
5588138.7
2910210.7
4512141.5
Blue220
3218158.3
2557166.4
2976165.1
43%Model gave it57%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions323338100200300400500237220

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
210.70.6
214.9214.3
Auto19.4
Teleop165.9
End24.8
red by 44.3
2557
#28
166.41.6
180.9179.3
Auto18.7
Teleop130.5
End13.3
Second
141.51.4
135.9137.3
Auto20.1
Teleop105.9
End11.5
blue by 23.6
2976
#15
165.10.4
166.9167.3
Auto18.7
Teleop136.8
End10.7
Third
5588
#11
138.70.6
137.0137.5
Auto15.8
Teleop107.2
End17.1
blue by 19.5
3218
#31
158.31.7
172.2170.6
Auto17.5
Teleop124.8
End11.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
74%Auto Quest oddsMissed93%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
6%Face the Boss oddsMissed26%Face the Boss oddsMissed