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Red343
3574154.7
304982.1
1983182.1
Blue119
4089127.3
2930150.3
2903130.7
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions275298150200250350400450343119

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
182.11.5
180.3178.8
Auto22.8
Teleop144.7
End11.6
red by 31.8
2930
#35
150.31.3
161.4160.1
Auto19.8
Teleop113.7
End13.2
Second
154.70.6
150.7151.3
Auto23.6
Teleop116.6
End11.1
red by 23.9
2903
#12
130.70.4
130.8131.3
Auto14.1
Teleop107.5
End8.6
Third
82.10.2
79.779.5
Auto13.9
Teleop63.4
End8.3
blue by 45.2
4089
#17
127.30.6
126.0126.6
Auto16.0
Teleop101.2
End9.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
70%Auto Quest oddsEarned22%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
7%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed