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Red137
3786113.7
1778151.8
4205119.1
Blue338
3223150.9
4469146.2
3218158.3
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2373590100200300400500600700137338

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1778
#19
151.81.3
147.8149.1
Auto17.3
Teleop125.1
End9.1
blue by 6.5
3218
#31
158.31.6
166.2164.5
Auto17.5
Teleop124.8
End11.3
Second
4205
#26
119.10.3
120.1120.4
Auto17.6
Teleop92.0
End6.5
blue by 31.7
3223
#29
150.91.1
155.5154.4
Auto20.1
Teleop117.7
End11.6
Third
3786
#24
113.70.1
117.0117.1
Auto15.6
Teleop92.4
End4.3
blue by 32.6
4469
#30
146.21.7
151.5149.8
Auto16.2
Teleop111.0
End18.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
44%Auto Quest oddsMissed75%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
2%Face the Boss oddsMissed6%Face the Boss oddsMissed