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Red268
4450161.1
5827126.3
948145.0
Blue305
492132.0
5588138.7
1318203.8
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2903710100200500600700268305

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4450
#25
161.10.0
160.8160.8
Auto17.9
Teleop117.8
End24.7
blue by 42.7
203.80.4
204.9204.5
Auto23.7
Teleop148.4
End29.1
Second
948
#14
145.01.0
146.9145.9
Auto19.7
Teleop112.3
End12.1
red by 6.2
5588
#11
138.70.1
137.1137.2
Auto15.8
Teleop107.2
End17.1
Third
5827
#32
126.30.6
124.0124.6
Auto16.1
Teleop98.8
End13.6
blue by 5.7
492
#20
132.02.7
140.2137.6
Auto20.3
Teleop99.7
End10.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
64%Auto Quest oddsMissed73%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed9%Face the Boss oddsMissed