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Red150
2907130.0
4180101.3
5937105.2
Blue338
4461105.5
3574154.7
4512141.5
10%Model gave it90%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2113540100300400500150338

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2907
#33
130.00.2
132.6132.8
Auto17.1
Teleop98.6
End11.8
blue by 24.7
154.71.3
151.3152.6
Auto23.6
Teleop116.6
End11.1
Second
5937
#36
105.21.6
110.6109.0
Auto17.3
Teleop79.9
End5.2
blue by 36.3
141.50.6
138.7139.4
Auto20.1
Teleop105.9
End11.5
Third
4180
#23
101.31.1
105.5104.3
Auto16.7
Teleop80.4
End2.3
blue by 4.2
4461
#13
105.50.2
104.6104.4
Auto15.1
Teleop86.7
End4.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
30%Auto Quest oddsMissed70%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
2%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed