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Red229
1778151.8
2557166.4
5937105.2
Blue407
948145.0
2046224.7
304982.1
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2333380100200300400500229407

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2557
#28
166.42.4
170.6168.2
Auto18.7
Teleop130.5
End13.3
blue by 58.3
224.70.2
223.8223.5
Auto21.8
Teleop182.1
End23.1
Second
1778
#19
151.80.8
149.3150.1
Auto17.3
Teleop125.1
End9.1
red by 6.8
948
#14
145.00.5
145.2144.7
Auto19.7
Teleop112.3
End12.1
Third
5937
#36
105.21.2
107.1105.9
Auto17.3
Teleop79.9
End5.2
red by 23.1
82.10.8
80.080.9
Auto13.9
Teleop63.4
End8.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
71%Auto Quest oddsEarned67%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
5%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed