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Red250
3218158.3
3219135.9
5803178.8
Blue385
5827126.3
2903130.7
4915146.5
76%Model gave it24%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3792420100200300500600700250385

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5803
#10
178.80.4
181.2181.6
Auto21.8
Teleop127.1
End26.6
red by 32.3
4915
#18
146.51.4
148.0146.6
Auto21.3
Teleop105.4
End19.5
Second
3218
#31
158.31.8
163.5161.7
Auto17.5
Teleop124.8
End11.3
red by 27.5
2903
#12
130.70.5
130.5130.1
Auto14.1
Teleop107.5
End8.6
Third
3219
#34
135.92.0
141.5139.5
Auto21.3
Teleop98.8
End9.9
red by 9.6
5827
#32
126.30.1
125.1125.2
Auto16.1
Teleop98.8
End13.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
85%Auto Quest oddsMissed19%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
21%Face the Boss oddsMissed2%Face the Boss oddsMissed