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Red383
1778151.8
2046224.7
1318203.8
Blue181
2930150.3
5588138.7
5803178.8
87%Model gave it13%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4342360100200300400500600700383181

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2046
#4Sur
224.70.4
223.5224.0
Auto21.8
Teleop182.1
End23.1
red by 45.9
5803
#10Sur
178.81.7
181.6180.0
Auto21.8
Teleop127.1
End26.6
Second
1318
#3Sur
203.80.1
204.1204.0
Auto23.7
Teleop148.4
End29.1
red by 53.5
2930
#35Sur
150.33.0
153.3150.3
Auto19.8
Teleop113.7
End13.2
Third
1778
#19Sur
151.80.9
150.1151.0
Auto17.3
Teleop125.1
End9.1
red by 13.0
5588
#11Sur
138.71.0
137.8138.7
Auto15.8
Teleop107.2
End17.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
89%Auto Quest oddsEarned59%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
9%Face the Boss oddsEarned19%Face the Boss oddsMissed