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Red200
4469146.2
360157.1
3574154.7
Blue352
1983182.1
3786113.7
4461105.5
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3332520100200300400500600700200352

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
360
#16Sur
157.10.4
156.7157.1
Auto20.2
Teleop122.2
End12.8
blue by 24.9
1983
#6Sur
182.10.4
178.4178.8
Auto22.8
Teleop144.7
End11.6
Second
3574
#2Sur
154.70.4
154.9155.2
Auto23.6
Teleop116.6
End11.1
red by 41.0
3786
#24
113.71.3
114.9113.7
Auto15.6
Teleop92.4
End4.3
Third
4469
#30
146.20.2
147.7147.5
Auto16.2
Teleop111.0
End18.3
red by 40.7
4461
#13Sur
105.50.1
105.5105.5
Auto15.1
Teleop86.7
End4.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
80%Auto Quest oddsEarned63%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
7%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed