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Red221
1899109.8
4089127.3
948145.0
Blue290
4131124.0
3218158.3
4450161.1
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions27032402004006008001,000221290

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
948
#14Sur
145.00.3
144.7145.0
Auto19.7
Teleop112.3
End12.1
blue by 16.1
4450
#25Sur
161.10.1
161.0161.1
Auto17.9
Teleop117.8
End24.7
Second
4089
#17Sur
127.30.7
126.6127.3
Auto16.0
Teleop101.2
End9.6
blue by 31.0
3218
#31Sur
158.33.4
161.7158.3
Auto17.5
Teleop124.8
End11.3
Third
1899
#27Sur
109.80.1
110.1110.2
Auto16.6
Teleop84.4
End6.9
blue by 14.2
4131
#37Sur
124.02.7
126.7124.0
Auto15.2
Teleop90.6
End13.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
52%Auto Quest oddsMissed40%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
2%Face the Boss oddsMissed16%Face the Boss oddsMissed