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Red242
2412148.1
5937105.2
949138.0
Blue125
2976165.1
4180101.3
3219135.9
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions288279150200250350400242125

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2412
#8Sur
148.10.4
147.6147.9
Auto16.6
Teleop110.8
End19.4
blue by 17.0
2976
#15Sur
165.10.2
166.0166.1
Auto18.7
Teleop136.8
End10.7
Second
949
#5Sur
138.01.8
135.7137.4
Auto19.4
Teleop108.9
End7.4
red by 2.1
3219
#34Sur
135.93.5
139.5135.9
Auto21.3
Teleop98.8
End9.9
Third
5937
#36Sur
105.20.7
105.9105.2
Auto17.3
Teleop79.9
End5.2
red by 4.0
4180
#23Sur
101.30.0
102.3102.2
Auto16.7
Teleop80.4
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
47%Auto Quest oddsMissed65%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
1%Face the Boss oddsMissed2%Face the Boss oddsMissed