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Red124
4060121.4
2907130.0
4915146.5
Blue267
2903130.7
3223150.9
2557166.4
27%Model gave it73%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2513490100200300400500600124267

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4915
#18Sur
146.50.1
146.6146.5
Auto21.3
Teleop105.4
End19.5
blue by 19.9
2557
#28Sur
166.41.7
168.2166.4
Auto18.7
Teleop130.5
End13.3
Second
2907
#33Sur
130.01.2
131.2130.0
Auto17.1
Teleop98.6
End11.8
blue by 20.9
3223
#29Sur
150.91.5
152.4150.9
Auto20.1
Teleop117.7
End11.6
Third
4060
#21Sur
121.40.6
122.0121.4
Auto16.2
Teleop94.8
End9.0
blue by 9.3
2903
#12Sur
130.70.7
130.1130.7
Auto14.1
Teleop107.5
End8.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
67%Auto Quest oddsMissed63%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
2%Face the Boss oddsMissed10%Face the Boss oddsMissed