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Red387
304982.1
5827126.3
2910210.7
Blue126
4512141.5
6350114.8
4205119.1
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3542300100300400500600700387126

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2910
#7Sur
210.70.8
211.5210.7
Auto19.4
Teleop165.9
End24.8
red by 69.2
4512
#1Sur
141.50.8
141.1141.9
Auto20.1
Teleop105.9
End11.5
Second
5827
#32Sur
126.31.1
125.2126.3
Auto16.1
Teleop98.8
End13.6
red by 7.2
4205
#26Sur
119.10.5
119.6119.1
Auto17.6
Teleop92.0
End6.5
Third
82.11.2
80.982.1
Auto13.9
Teleop63.4
End8.3
blue by 32.7
6350
#22Sur
114.80.5
114.3114.8
Auto17.5
Teleop87.3
End6.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
39%Auto Quest oddsEarned61%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed