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Red318
492132.0
4469146.2
2976165.1
Blue242
4180101.3
1899109.8
1983182.1
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions33723404006008001,000318242

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2976
#15Sur
165.10.9
166.1165.2
Auto18.7
Teleop136.8
End10.7
blue by 17.0
1983
#6Sur
182.11.5
178.8180.3
Auto22.8
Teleop144.7
End11.6
Second
4469
#30Sur
146.21.2
147.5146.2
Auto16.2
Teleop111.0
End18.3
red by 36.4
1899
#27Sur
109.80.4
110.2109.8
Auto16.6
Teleop84.4
End6.9
Third
492
#20
132.01.1
133.1132.0
Auto20.3
Teleop99.7
End10.1
red by 30.7
4180
#23Sur
101.30.9
102.2101.3
Auto16.7
Teleop80.4
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
69%Auto Quest oddsEarned50%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
2%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed