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Red280
4915146.5
4450161.1
360157.1
Blue362
3574154.7
2412148.1
1778151.8
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions33732602004006008001,0001,200280362

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4450
#25
161.11.3
163.7162.4
Auto17.9
Teleop117.8
End24.7
red by 6.4
154.70.2
150.0150.2
Auto23.6
Teleop116.6
End11.1
Second
360
#16
157.11.1
159.3158.2
Auto20.2
Teleop122.2
End12.8
red by 5.3
1778
#19
151.80.3
146.4146.7
Auto17.3
Teleop125.1
End9.1
Third
4915
#18
146.51.6
156.9155.4
Auto21.3
Teleop105.4
End19.5
blue by 1.5
148.10.1
145.4145.3
Auto16.6
Teleop110.8
End19.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
82%Auto Quest oddsEarned75%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
11%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed